Public Sector Pensions

So the Treasury is now calculating the public sector pensions costson the same basis as it forces the private sector to. Not surprisingly, using the new discount rate, the sums have ballooned.

The Treasury figures disclosed that the provision for
the NHS pension scheme this year is some £26.8 billion, rather than the
£7.8 billion in the previous year’s figures.

The
Teachers’ Pension Scheme for England and Wales is £22.2 billion,
compared to £6.9 billion, while the Armed Forces scheme is £14.5
billion rather than £3.8 billion.

The Civil Service superannuation scheme, meanwhile, is £16.7 billion, compared to £5.5 billion previously.

The
increases were caused by a change in the so-called "discount rate" used
to calculate how fast interest rates will erode the pensions bill.

The
Government had previously used a generous formula including a discount
rate of 3.5 per cent on its liabilities but has reduced that to 2.8 per
cent – closer to rates used by the private sector.

One interesting question. Is that a one off adjustment showing the effects of the change? Or are those figures annual? Is the debt accumulating at 71 billion each year? I hope not as that’s about half of the entire income tax take.

"The annual cash payment from unfunded schemes will rise gradually from
about 1.5 per cent of GDP now to 2.1 per cent by the middle of the
century, putting the UK in a much better position than many other
developed economies to deal with the fiscal challenges of the future."

Hhhmm. 2.1% of GDP? No, that’s about 5 p on income tax.  Still, it’s a pretty large sum to be paying just for public sector pensions, isn’t it. Perhaps they might need to come of the inflation proofing, early retirement and final salary things. After all, they do get paid more than the private sector anyway, don’t they.

2 responses

  1. Perhaps they might need to come off the inflation proofing, early retirement and final salary things. After all, they do get paid more than the private sector anyway, don’t they.
    Giggle. Yes, Tim, teachers at state schools earn far more than their private-school counterparts. Treasury economists earn far more than their counterparts at, say, JP Morgan. An NHS doctor is rich by comparison to a doctor in a private hospital. Mercenaries are far worse paid than squaddies.
    You’re just operating in a world of your own there, aren’t you?
    Tim adds:As the figures used by the EOC and the Women and Work Commission show, average hourly wages in the public sector are higher than they are in the private. Straight from the ONS that is. If that isn’t relevant then, of course, nor is the fact that female average wages are lower than male.

  2. Yes, I checked that out. The median public sector worker earns a whopping £12 more a week than his private sector counterpart.
    In the top 25% of earners (the inflation-linked final salary lot you decry) the private sector clearly outearns the public sector.
    And, the CIPD says, this is not a permanent state of affairs anyway: “For several decades the pay of public sector workers has followed a clear cyclical pattern – periods when public sector pay has fallen behind that in the private sector followed by periods of catch-up.”

Leave a Reply

Discover more from Tim Worstall

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading